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Digital Asset Markets: Five Important Themes

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Digital belongings have had a wild journey over the past yr. A number of centralized crypto firms, from the hedge fund Three Arrows Capital to the crypto alternate FTX, have failed, whereas the SEC, the Commodities Futures Buying and selling Fee (CFTC), and different US businesses have initiated a regulatory onslaught towards crypto-related companies. Additional, amid excessive inflation, a banking disaster, and a possible recession, all threat belongings face an unsure macro future. 

However we will’t neglect the long-term uneven alternative that digital belongings might provide. Elementary buyers are trying to find the digital initiatives that stand the perfect likelihood for mass adoption regardless of the unfavorable overhang. With that in thoughts, 5 vital themes have emerged in digital asset markets that might result in wider blockchain adoption within the medium to long run.

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1. The Huge Gamers Are Right here: Web2 Partnerships and the Subsequent Wave of Web3 Customers

Up to now, digital asset adoption has been largely the area of native Web3 innovators. To proceed alongside this curve, extra early adopters want to return onboard. A number of firms with pre-crypto origins made vital progress in 2021 and 2022 by initiatives that helped develop Web3’s person base past crypto natives.

4 initiatives particularly have leveraged Polygon, an Ethereum-based scaling answer, to facilitate these efforts.

Polygon + Initiatives

In lots of of those circumstances, clients don’t even know they’re interacting with blockchain know-how. Web2 firms have successfully abstracted the blockchain away. Up to now, Web3 onboarding has been pretty technical; by making it much less so, manufacturers might help encourage mass adoption.

Google and Amazon have additionally seen the worth of partnering with blockchains for node operation. Amazon Internet Providers has paired up with Avalanche and Google with Solana. 

Why are all these manufacturers implementing Web3 plans? To enhance their person expertise and buyer relationships, entice Gen-Z digital natives, and unlock various sources of income, amongst different causes.

Amid continued constructive momentum in 2023, we anticipate extra large manufacturers to observe their lead and develop their very own blockchain initiatives.

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2. Ethereum Dominates, However Should Scale to Service Mass Adoption

With 60% of decentralized finance (DeFi) whole worth locked (TVL) and 85% of NFT transaction quantity, Ethereum is the clear chief amongst sensible contract platforms. Nonetheless, ought to thousands and thousands of individuals stampede to Web3, the Ethereum community may very well be overwhelmed and the value to transact on its blockchain might turn out to be prohibitively costly. So, how can blockchains scale up? We see three attainable approaches.

Three Blockchain Varieties

Chart visualizing three blockchain types

Monolithic blockchains like Solana provide execution, settlement, consensus, and knowledge availability multi function. Apps are constructed straight on prime of the blockchain. However this could create scalability points — the so-called blockchain trilemma — if the blockchain is each decentralized and extremely safe.

Modular blockchains like Ethereum 2.0 separate the execution, settlement and consensus, and knowledge availability layers. “Layer 2s,” within the type of sidechains and rollups, assist the unique “Layer 1” blockchain scale with out sacrificing decentralization or safety. Purposes are constructed on prime of each Layer 1s and Layer 2s.

Universes of interconnected blockchains like Cosmos are ecosystems with comparatively safe inter-blockchain communication protocols, so totally different blockchains can alternate knowledge and worth between them.

As a result of Lindy impact and the present dominance of Ethereum and its Layer 2s in new mission launches, we anticipate modular blockchains to prevail. Although smaller positions within the different blockchain-scaling fashions, particularly these with stable tokenomics and enticing relative valuations, could also be a great hedge. 

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3. Tokenization Will Carry Varied Exogenous Belongings On-Chain

Tokenization creates digital representations of assorted belongings, from securities and funds to art work and different collectibles, and is among the many most vital present Web3 narratives. The advantages of tokenizing belongings clarify why this theme is gaining such traction.

The Advantages of Tokenization

TokenizedSecuritiesTokenizedFundsTokenized RealEstate, Artwork, andOther CollectiblesBetterAccessibilityOpens upsecurities marketsto a worldwide poolof investorsMakes institutionalprivate market strategiesmore accessible toindividual investorswith decrease investmentminimums, improvedonboarding, and probably higher liquidityAllows for fractionalizationBetterEfficiencyIncreased liquidity,sooner settlement,and decrease costsTransforms relativelyliquid resourcesinto simply tradable items

The chance is huge. Based on HSBC estimates, tokenized market quantity will attain $24 trillion by 2027.

How is that this theme expressed in liquid token portfolios or non-fungible belongings (NFAs)? By sensible contract platforms that present the general public blockchain and settlement infrastructure for these tokenized belongings. KKR tokenized its well being care fund and Hamilton Lane its $2.1B flagship fund by Avalanche and Polygon, respectively. Decentralized functions (DApps) — Maker, Centrifuge, Maple Finance, and Ondo Finance, for instance — assist customers bridge actual world belongings (RWAs) to DeFi.

4. RWAs Can Assist Counter DeFi’s Circularity

DeFi’s “self-reference” has been a perceived shortcoming of the sector. For instance, a DeFi person might take out a mortgage on lending protocol Aave for leveraged buying and selling of belongings on the Uniswap decentralized alternate.

We’re bullish on alternatives that break this circularity downside by integrating outdoors data and “actual world” use circumstances onto closed blockchain networks. There are numerous current examples of non crypto-native companies turning to DeFi.

By the lending protocol Maker, customers can borrow their DAI stablecoins by locking collateral in Maker’s sensible contracts. Constructed on Ethereum, Maker determines which collateral they settle for in addition to the collateralization ratios for every collateral sort. Most collateral on Maker right now is within the type of stablecoins, like USD Cash (USDCs) pegged to the US greenback, however RWAs are a fast-growing phase. Initially of This fall 2022, RWAs made up solely 2% of the collateral on Maker, however that has grown to 13%, and RWA revenue presently accounts for over half of Maker’s income. Certainly, RWA collateral now consists of US Treasury bonds by MIP65, loans from Huntingdon Valley Financial institution in Pennsylvania, and funding grade asset-backed securities by BlockTower Capital.

RWA Exercise

Chart showing RWA Activity: Assets per type DAO
Chart showing RWA Activity by Maker

Constructed on the Ethereum and Solana blockchains, Maple Finance is one other lending protocol that gives infrastructure for credit score consultants to run on-chain lending companies. Earlier this yr, it introduced a $100 million receivables financing pool, enabling Intero Capital Options to borrow USDC towards receivables and buyers to lend their USDC for a ten% focused yield.

Tile for Cryptoassets: Beyond the Hype report

5. NFTs: The Underappreciated Upside

NFT exercise boomed in 2021 with gross sales quantity and distinctive consumers rising 41,784% and 6,959%, respectively, based on CryptoSlam. In 2023, NFT exercise is on the upswing once more thanks to 2 vital occasions: the disruptive launch of Blur, an Ethereum NFT market, and the explosive reputation of bitcoin ordinals, by which customers can inscribe textual content, pictures, and different knowledge on satoshis, or smaller bitcoin models. 

NFT Exercise

The 2021 growth recollects that of the preliminary coin choices (ICOs) in 2017 and serves as a DeFI proof of idea. “Profile image” NFTs of cartoon apes and pixelated punks however, we consider a a lot bigger digital collectible market spans the next industries:

Gaming: By NFTs, avid gamers can extra totally personal their in-game land, avatars, and different belongings they’ve earned and invested in. Gaming NFTs may very well be offered, exchanged, and moved amongst totally different metaverses in order that customers can transport their digital belongings from Sport A to Sport B reasonably than ranging from scratch. 

Music: Followers might spend money on and help their favourite musical artists by NFTs. For instance, they may buy a share of an artist’s track that entitles them to royalty rights at any time when that track is performed on streaming companies. NFTs might additionally unlock real-world experiences for followers, corresponding to early entry to new observe releases or meet-and-greets with the artist.

Ticketing: NFTs even have functions within the dwell occasions business. By Ticketmaster’s partnership with the blockchain Circulate, occasion organizers can now problem NFTs round dwell exhibits. Just like music NFTs, these functions might improve followers’ experiences and function digital collectibles. Ticketmaster’s web site now encompasses a pockets and NFT market in order that collectors can share and commerce.

Social Media: The centralized Web2 social media giants revenue from content material that they don’t create. Due to social media’s present ad-driven enterprise mannequin, precise content material creators go underpaid or usually are not paid in any respect. By storing their social media on a public blockchain by NFTs that characterize profiles, likes, feedback, and different exercise, content material creators can, by social tipping, secondary marketplaces for profiles, and different ideas, higher seize worth for his or her work.

Area Names in Web3, corresponding to runa.eth, resemble their Web2 counterparts like runa.com: They’ll function web sites and e-mail addresses. These domains are technically represented as NFTs on blockchains and provide further use circumstances — for knowledge storage, for instance, so customers can then give functions permission to entry sure data. On this means, customers can carry their knowledge across the internet through NFTs and have fuller possession of their on-line identification.

Promotional tile for Cryptoassets: The Guide to Bitcoin, Blockchain, and Cryptocurrency for Investment Professionals

To make certain, the digital asset area remains to be early in its improvement. Whereas now not in its infancy, it’s removed from a mature market. As such, it stays each extremely speculative and ripe with potential.

That’s the reason it’s value keeping track of — and approaching with warning.

When you appreciated this publish, don’t neglect to subscribe to the Enterprising Investor

All posts are the opinion of the creator. As such, they shouldn’t be construed as funding recommendation, nor do the opinions expressed essentially replicate the views of CFA Institute or the creator’s employer.

Picture credit score: ©Getty Photographs/ spainter_vfx

Skilled Studying for CFA Institute Members

CFA Institute members are empowered to self-determine and self-report skilled studying (PL) credit earned, together with content material on Enterprising Investor. Members can file credit simply utilizing their on-line PL tracker.


Alex Botte, CFA

Alex Botte, CFA, CAIA, is the Head of Shopper and Portfolio Options at Runa Digital Belongings, an funding agency specializing in digital asset portfolios. On this function, she is liable for the funding threat framework, chairs the Threat Committee, and contributes to content material, portfolio analytics, analysis, and consumer engagement. Botte was beforehand a Vice President at Two Sigma, the place she produced funding management-related content material and helped with the event of the agency’s factor-based threat analytics platform, Venn. Previous to Two Sigma, she was at AQR Capital Administration, the place she most just lately served as a Product Specialist for the agency’s International Asset Allocation methods. Previous to AQR, she labored in Prime Providers at Barclays. Botte holds a bachelor’s of science in utilized economics and administration from Cornell College.

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